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Using Technical Indicators to Identify & Analyse Trading Opportunities (Module)

Introduction

This 3-day education programme is designed to give you a full understanding of technical trading and to provide a framework for its appropriate application in the real world. The main objective of the course is to provide the tools necessary for traders to be able to identify and analyse the risk profile and trading opportunities of financial markets price trends, in order to execute and manage with high confidence trades in the markets. This course aims to refresh the theory behind a number of trading philosophies & methodologies, provide a critical analysis of the appropriateness of each of these techniques, gives insight into their real world use and present new thinking on the application of the various methodologies.

Pre-Requsite(s)

  • Delegates should be generally familiar with equity, currency, derivatives, Bond & Money markets
  • To understand and apply the theory and principles of Technical Analysis
  • To be able to interpret price action using Technical Analysis techniques
  • To use the conclusions of the analysis to construct profitable trading strategies
  • Delegates are required to bring along a financial calculator, a pen and a ruler for this course

Course Outline

Assumptions of Technical Analysis

  • Compared & complimented with fundamental analysis
  • Chart construction
  • Dow theory restated

Case study: A long term analysis of the US equities market using Dow Theory
Group discussion – Looking for recent major Dow reversals

Short Term Bar Analysis

  • Analysing the day and hour bar
  • Role of volume and ranges
  • Short term reversal signals

Case study: Exercise in finding turning points on daily and intrad-day charts using a live data trading simulation

Long Term Bar Analysis

  • Trend swing analysis
  • Fibonacci ratios
  • Trend lines
  • Support and resistance
  • Gap analysis
  • Volume and open interest

Case study: Working out Fibonacci ratios by magnitude and timeframe
Case study II: Real time exercise in trend swing chart construction and intra-day live data trading simulation

Chart Pattern Recognition

  • Reversal patterns
  • Continuation patterns

Case study: Finding patterns and observing the evolution of a pattern – Lessons and consequences: of dreaming up patterns

Other Graphical Analysis Techniques

  • Point and figure method
  • Japanese candle sticks
  • Market profile

Case study: Point and figure: defining the support and resistance levels. Measuring the price targets from break outs

Mathematical Approaches

  • The single moving averages
  • Types of averages and models
  • Filters, use & abuse

Case study: Picking your favourite model – Dos and don’ts!

Trending Indicators

  • Double & triple moving averages
  • Directional movement indexes

Case study: A core trading model explained and applied to a variety of markets

Non-Trending & Other Momentum Models

  • RSIs, Stochastic & Bollinger Bands
  • Their application in different market conditions
  • Options strategies & volatility

Case study: Review of a Trade – Getting the signals right. When to use and when not to

Trading Systems & Capital Management

  • Design and construction
  • Criteria and system optimization
  • Risks of ruin
  • Approaches to capital management
  • Dynamics of trades

Case study: Group exercise of trade planning and risk management – 1 Planning stage, 2 – Actions during the trade and profit objective achievement

Esoteric Theories

  • Gann analysis
  • Elliot Wave analysis
  • Cycles, Krondratieff, Astro, Business Cycle analysis

Case study: Doing an Actual Elliot wave count – do it – Don’t hallucinate it!

Intermarket Technical Analysis

  • Relative strength charts
  • Asset allocation strategies
  • The link with the real world financial market trends

Case study: A contemporary group exercise in identifying main market risks and how they will impart YOUR market

Summary & Construction of Analysis & Trading Plan

  • Trading strategies
  • Further study
  • Questions

Overall Application to Markets

  • What factors cause funds to liquidate positions?
  • Practical trading considerations and ideas
  • Trading equities, interest rates, energies, soft commodities and metals
  • Applying technical analysis to Asian financial markets

Course Summary & Conclusion

Course Date

23 - 25 November 2013

Trainer

Larry Lovrencic

Fee

POA

Technical Analysis – Executing & Managing High Confidence Trades (Module)

Introduction

This 2 day education programme is designed to improve dealers existing understanding of technical trading with specialised technical trading techniques and to reinforce participants trading and analysis framework for its practical application in the real world. The main objective of the course is to provide the tools necessary for traders to be able to identify, execute and manage high confidence trades in the markets. This course aims to provide a critical analysis of the appropriateness of each of these trading methodologies, give insight into their real world application and present new thinking on the application of the various trading methodologies.

Learning Outcomes

By the end of this course, participants should be able to:

  • Recognise the key technical trading techniques in short term/proprietary trading horizons
  • Recognize Technical and Fundamental methods as complements
  • Maximise the information gleaned from mathematical trading models
  • Utilise disciplined capital management techniques
  • Become conversant in more esoteric technical analysis theories
  • Practically apply intermarket technical analysis trading techniques

Pre-Requsite(s)

  • This is an advanced-level course. It is recommended that course delegates have had at least 1-2 years experience in the dealing room and have been exposed to the basics of each of the main technical trading philosophies
  • Delegates are required to bring along a financial calculator for this course

Course Outline

Review of Dow Theory with Applications

  • Basic Dow principles
  • Importance of volume
  • The legacy of Dow

Exercise: A long term analysis of the US equities market using Dow Theory
Group discussion: Looking for recent major Dow reversals

Trend Swing Charts, Fibonacci Series & Short Term Bar Chart Analysis

  • Constructing Trend swing charts
  • Trading as an indicator
  • Fibonacci series defined
  • Using Fibonacci ratios
  • Trend lines
  • Short term analysis of bar charts
  • Short term reversal signals

Exercise: Real time exercise in Trend swing chart construction and working out Fibonacci ratios by magnitude and timeframeGroup discussion: On Capital management – Where would you put your stoploss?

Point & Figure Analysis

  • Interpretation
  • Identification of trends, supports and resistance
  • Congestion analysis
  • Price objective
  • Reversal patterns

Exercise: Define the support and resistance levels. Measuring the price targets and stoploss management

Japanese Candle Stick and Ichimoku Kinko-hyo Chart Analysis

  • Interpretation of Candle lines
  • Candlestick Reversal patterns
  • Candlestick Continuation patterns
  • Define components of Ichimoku Kinko-hyocharts
  • Guidelines for application of Ichimoku Kinko-hyo charts

Application: Short examination of Japanese candle patterns and Ichimoku Kinko-hyo charts to reinforce knowledge

Capital Management Techniques

  • Risk reward principles
  • Stop-loss use and abuse
  • Dynamics of trading management

Group exercise of a Theoretical trade:

  • Planning stage
  • Managing the trade and profit objective achievement

Advanced Mathematical Indicators

  • MACD, Bollinger bands, ADX, Moving Average Channel indicators, Cycle Gauge Theory and Market Breadth
  • The Moving average convergence divergence indicator
  • Bollinger bands
  • The directional Movement indicator – The ADX
  • The Moving Average channel
  • Cycle Gauge Theory
  • Market Breadth
  • Blending indicators – All weather trading

Group exercise: Review of a Trade – Getting the signals right

Gann Methodologies

  • Review of Gann theory
  • Squaring of price and time
  • Retracement and expansion concepts
  • Application of Gann's Square of Nine

Individual revision test: To reinforce the theory presented

Elliot Wave

  • Key Elliot wave principles explained
  • Impulsive and correction waves
  • Wave personality and target projections
  • Weaknesses reviewed

Exercise: Working out Elliot wave counts 1-profit targets and Retracement objectives

Course Summary & Conclusion

Course Date

26 - 27 November 2013

Trainer

Larry Lovrencic

Fee

POA

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